US Analyst Predicts Kamala Harris Presidency Would Increase Pressure on Israel and Realign US Foreign Policy

A recent discussion with political scientist Ian Bremmer highlighted potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy under a hypothetical President Kamala Harris. Bremmer suggests that Harris would likely exert more pressure on Israel, potentially recognizing a Palestinian state ahead of Israel’s acceptance and aligning more closely with European perspectives on the Israel-Palestine conflict. Regarding Ukraine, Bremmer does not foresee a drastic change in U.S. support but notes the challenges and pressures facing Ukraine, including reduced support from European allies. The conversation also touches on U.S. domestic concerns, Harris’s stance on NATO and China, and the potential for a turbulent post-election period in the U.S., especially if the election results are contested.

• Harris may put more pressure on Israel and could be more supportive of Palestinian statehood, differing significantly from the current administration’s stance.
• Despite concerns, support for Ukraine is likely to continue under Harris, though the future of U.S. and European support faces uncertainties.
• Domestic issues such as immigration, inflation, and abortion are currently more pressing to American voters than foreign policy concerns.
• Harris is committed to NATO and sees the alliance as essential to U.S. national security, suggesting a continuation of efforts to encourage increased defense spending by NATO members.
• On China, Harris’s policies are expected to align closely with Biden’s, focusing on strategic industries, intellectual property protection, and rule of law rather than unilateral tariffs.
• The post-election period in the U.S. is anticipated to be highly contentious, especially if the results are close and contested, posing challenges to both domestic stability and foreign relations.
• Adversaries like North Korea, Iran, and Russia might exploit the uncertainty of a contested U.S. election period to further their interests at the expense of American and allied stability.

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