A US foreign policy analysis suggests that the United States underestimated how existential the ongoing Middle East conflict is for Iran. Tehran views the survival of its regional alliance network, particularly Hezbollah, as vital to its own national security and regime survival. Consequently, Western deterrence strategies may fail to prevent further escalation, as Iran perceives the degradation of its proxy network as a direct threat, significantly raising the risk of a wider regional confrontation.
- Analysts indicate that the United States miscalculated Iran’s strategic calculus regarding the Middle East conflict.
- Iran perceives the survival of its regional proxy network, especially Hezbollah, as crucial to its own national defense.
- Conventional deterrence efforts by Western nations may prove ineffective because Tehran views the situation as an existential threat.
- The ongoing degradation of Iran’s allies increases the risk of direct military confrontation in the region.
DW News is a global news TV program broadcast by German public state-owned international broadcaster Deutsche Welle (DW).
AllSides Media Bias Rating: Center
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Original video here.
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Lol Iranian over playing their hands. More like the US has no more negotiation cards
Salute to Iran for stand with helpless Palestinians ❤
Israel terrorist and apartheid state.
Please Sanctions on Israel for genocide.
80% sure Vance is an energy vampire.
BS
This is annoying. 👎
so attack Iran, ruin their infra, kill their children, loss the war & expect to pay nothing in return. that they should accept your demands. BS
Trump doesn't know what "existential" means. Nor can he pronounce it or care what it means because it doesn't affect his pocket.
Amerika ce lagano unistiti Nemacku.
This just a pause until Nov, ya know Elections, pesky have to pretend to make it like listening to the people they supposed to represent that don't pay them bribery money.. But after Nov Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb Bomb Iran.
Indeed Trump has a track record of killing negotiators
Israel: Bombs Lebanon, breaking the number 1 clause on the MOU
The guy interviewed: if IRAN keeps trying to make money with this deal, it wont work.
What a dense westerner.
This war was NOT existential to Iran. It WAS existential to the government-by-clergy in Iran and their IRGC goons.
The US overestimated their own capabilities as well as their own willingness to finish what they started. Trump didn't have the balls to put boots on the ground and as such, should never have attacked Iran in the first place.
Are you guys seriously not seeing this? The US's obsession with dominance and their geopolitical failures are going to completely tank their global influence in the long run. Instead of showing strength, this aggressive rhetoric backfires: it’s driving Iran straight into the arms of China and Russia. US dominance in the Middle East is crumbling, and their credibility as a superpower is officially shot.
Couldn't they have achieved all that with the JCPOA?
The war took less than a year
We have many armchair critics who has no idea what is the real situation in Iran and make comments which has no relevance!
I think there should have been criticism of how Trump prosecuted this military action including deeper strikes against IRGC and other revolutionary resources at both leadership and manpower personnel as well as more effective destruction of missiles and drones. Not to mention much more severe damage to Hormuz straits ‘closure’ capability. Also better and more consistent protection and support of anti regime Iranians.
Hardly, they did exactly as expected. We now control China's cheap oil, the Iran leaders are dead, we set their nuclear and global terror goals back decades, now the the IRGC will diminish in power and the Iranian people will be done with them.
I can feel the pain in voice of journalist 😂.
Foundation was built, house was built, in 2017. Trump knocked them all down in a fit of tantrum.
Poor journalism. He should at least mention that there were regular checks at nuclear sites and no any strait tolls before US and Israel illegally attacked Iran
This people don't know anything. He said Iran is over playing their hand. Iran haven't played their houthis red sea card. The hubris.
Now that the Iran 🇮🇷 won the war, German are praising them 😂😂❤
Iran is global threat weaonizing Strait of Hormuz, nuclear program and terrorism. Hopeless Iran leading to Stone Age.
TrumpKrasnov makes every enemy of the EU and the USA stronger.
0:28 🤣😆😄 Wasn't the IAEA already in Iran monitoring its nuclear program under Obama's deal before Trump pulled the U.S. out ? Now they're coming back, and suddenly that's being sold as a major milestone? Doesn't that kind of admit pulling out of the Obama's deal was a major mistake? And now they're lifting Iran's oil sanctions too. Obama got IAEA inspectors into Iran without a war, without billions in military spending, and without losing American lives. Trump called that "the worst deal ever." Now, after all the costs, they're celebrating getting back to something that looks a lot like a water-down of Obama's deals?
Obviously, Iran was the winner in this conflict, and Israel was the loser. The u.s. is like a plucked rooster that somehow gets out of this mess.
No it’s not US, it’s the dumb president.
Iranian regime: “Regime change? Not a big deal.”
This was never about de-nuclearizing Iran but Israel taking a gamble on "decapitating" the Iranian regime and convincing Trump that it would be done swiftly, just like Venezuela. It was about Israel wanting hegemony in the middle east as the only nuclear power, thereby ushering in the Greater Israel Project.
Lifting the sanctions on oil sells means nothing. 60 days of oil sells just increases how much in frozen assets they have. And if that were released to them, their economy is so trashed that the money received is a drop in the bucket towards what they actually need for an operating economy.
Also, the analyst fails to figure into his assessment the fact that no one believes this will be done quickly. Iran will be threatened several more times before all the concessions are made. The US will likely have to drop bombs again before this is finished.