Military analysts are examining Iran’s recent large-scale drone and missile strike against Israel to draw strategic lessons for a potential conflict between China and Taiwan. The engagement demonstrated how saturation attacks can strain sophisticated air defense networks, offering Beijing insights into potentially overcoming Taiwan’s defenses. Additionally, the coordinated defense of Israel highlights the critical role of international alliances, a factor that both Beijing and Taipei are closely evaluating as they refine their respective military strategies and preparedness in the Indo-Pacific region.
- Iran’s coordinated deployment of inexpensive drones alongside ballistic and cruise missiles demonstrated how saturation tactics can test modern air defense systems.
- Defense analysts suggest China could employ similar mass-saturation strategies to deplete Taiwan’s air defense stockpiles during an initial conflict phase.
- The high financial cost of defense interceptors relative to cheap offensive munitions highlights an economic asymmetry that could impact long-term sustainability in a conflict.
- The successful interception of threats over Israel relied heavily on real-time intelligence sharing and direct military support from international coalition partners.
- Beijing is reportedly studying the political willpower and logistical response times of Western nations to anticipate potential intervention scenarios regarding Taiwan.
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Original video here.
This summary has been generated by AI.
hahaha
That's true in some respects; drones are currently the most powerful weapon in warfare. Just look at the high kill-to-death ratio achieved by Iran using its $3,000 Shahd drones to illustrate this.
China currently holds a significant advantage in unmanned weaponry, both in terms of technology and production capacity. Debating whether "Chinese unmanned weapons are truly that powerful," "Are Chinese weapons merely for show," or "Are Chinese weapons untested in actual combat and all just self-promotion" is pointless. The key question is: Who is willing to be the first to be tested as an adversary of Chinese weapons?
China will learn that going to war with Taiwan without extensive preparations will not work. They have to wage total war and not have hearted like the US did with Iran.
Which China I got confused , the republic of china or the people republic. anyway lets talk them to death. otherwise I highly suggest china make 5 million drones in a months, give them to Russia. A small money , a great return.
the usa returned from china with nothing – and there's been no more mention of selling military equipment to taiwan – all usa military equipment is dependent on chinese parts and rare earth minerals that china is no longer willing to provide to the usa ..
China success is win the war without fighting.
the expert never lived in mainland China , surely know what the other side thinks, he also forgot to look at the maps, take a look where is America and where is Iran? Do the same thing about the two Chinas
The US was not prepared for a long fight. They did not build enough forces to handle it. Iran understood that.
A president with some knowledge would have prepared for more from Iran and would have tackled it better.
It makes China conclude that US is continuing to decline at a rapid clip. Hence there is no need to rush.
From a Chinese TikToker :
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Seeing Through the Inherent Flaws of the US-Japan Asia-Pacific Encirclement: China's Military Development Must Not Be Led Astray.
If we look at how the US and Japan are developing things this way, what counter-strategies does China have? Actually, it's like this: China's military development has its own internal logic. The Americans actually have a scheme; they want to pin us down right here, keeping us focused as an Asia-Pacific power, especially engaging in a series of military games with Japan and South Korea, centered around Taiwan, the Taiwan Strait, and China's Taiwan. But I've always said that the development of China's military and technological capabilities must absolutely not be lured or confined by the Americans to just the Asia-Pacific region. What belongs to us is the whole world. I've always maintained that the goal of the Chinese Navy is to compete on the high seas, and we must also step into outer space. Therefore, we cannot allow China's military development to be overly distracted by these immediate, short-term goals; we must maintain our own pace. If we stick to our established path, the problems right in front of us might not even be problems. The way to break the game might not be to focus all our attention on what's right in front of us.
I've always felt this way, and I've always thought this might be a conspiracy. They lure you into putting all your main military forces into resolving issues in the Asia-Pacific region, right? Focusing on Japan. But Japan isn't even worth it. In the future, the real focus of great power competition might be in outer space, in the so-called cosmic space, lunar strategies—these are the places that will truly be the focal points of future great power competition.
In fact, according to the US strategic framework and design, they hope to form an encirclement of China in the Asia-Pacific. Their several pivot points are India, Australia, possibly Singapore, plus the Philippines, China's Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, aiming to block China within the West Pacific region. But I've always said that this conception depends on two basic conditions. The first condition is that these neighboring countries must have severe conflicts of interest with China, whereas in reality, China's economic development has benefited Asia-Pacific nations. The second condition depends on how many resources the Americans are willing to commit. Given the US's overall strategic retrenchment, their recent cooperation with Japan makes it very clear to surrounding countries that the Americans are unwilling to bear all the risks. I've always thought—many people wonder if this will lead the entire Asia-Pacific region to just follow the US—but I'm actually relatively optimistic. Because this series of strategic adjustments between the US and Japan proves exactly one thing clearly: the Americans are unwilling to bear frontline risks, and they are increasingly leaving the frontline to the Asia-Pacific countries themselves. I think this actually helps China and the surrounding Asia-Pacific nations sort out their stakes and interests. Because it means that once a conflict breaks out, the Asia-Pacific countries will become expendable pawns for the Americans. I believe even the Japanese understand this. If a real conflict were to happen, I doubt the Japanese would be jumping up and down as enthusiastically as they are now. So, on this first point, I don't think it will set an effective example.
Second, I think this might exacerbate tensions on the Korean Peninsula. The threat to China isn't that great, but the threat to North Korea will clearly rise. Especially with Russia and North Korea getting militarily much closer, we need to pay attention to more than just the Taiwan issue. As Russia and North Korea draw closer, and the US and Japan draw closer, the Korean Peninsula will definitely heat up. Therefore, in the future, the Korean Peninsula will likely become more complicated alongside Japan's remilitarization. Japan's military rise historically always first targets the Korean issue; this is Japan's historical logic.
Third, regarding the Philippines in the Asia-Pacific. The Philippines is tied very closely to the US, but to be honest, its military strength is very weak, marginally better than nothing. Its geographical location is important, but its military is weak. The only country that can truly constitute a restraint on us is Japan itself. The Japanese need to understand one thing: in the Asia-Pacific, once a direct conflict breaks out between China and the US, if Japan chooses sides, it would be total disaster for Japan. Actually, given the cunning of the Japanese right-wing, they won't do it. They don't have the guts. Was World War II not painful enough? They were let off the hook last time; would they be willing to try again this time? It's hard to say. Looking at the current situation, North Korea might be entering a relatively long period of left-wing rule. Meanwhile, Marcos's government in the Philippines is also very weak, with low support, and there's a high probability of a political shift or regime change. So it's hard to say how long the Americans' wishful thinking will last. Biden made some adjustments at the time, but they have already been completely dismantled by Trump. I believe that domestic political turmoil in the US will make it very difficult for the Americans to form a stable strategic layout in the Asia-Pacific. So if the Japanese want to use the Americans, they will find that the Americans are unreliable because they are unpredictable. That's the reality. However, Japan is a country that has its own pace, its own great-power ambitions, and its own grand strategy. We must not underestimate Japan. The Japanese right-wing actually has their own well-thought-out game plan on how to achieve military normalization and return to the path of a great power. But this ambition itself is something they shouldn't harbor; having this mindset is not a good thing for them.
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My own comments :
The mainstream narrative that the U.S. dollar’s global hegemony is backed by the "petrodollar" (Middle Eastern oil) is a myth. According to objective statistical data, the true, modern foundation of dollar hegemony is the "East Asian manufacturing dollar." East Asian economies—led by China, alongside Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan—generate the massive trade surpluses that actually sustain the global U.S. dollar system, dwarfing the contributions of oil-exporting nations.
So, both to maintain the persistence of global dollar hegemony, and to (militarily) disrupt the good old geopolitical stability of West-Pacific Asia at the same time, will prove to be a schizophrenic policy that can be chosen and pursued by the ruling American politicians in the rest of this century.
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Taiwan is recognized by countries around the world and the United Nations as belonging to China. Intervention from the US and Western countries is futile and illegal. China does not want to unify Taiwan militarily, causing bloodshed and hatred among brothers of the same blood; China's main goal is to unify Taiwan peacefully.
US should be more serious and commit ground troops
china band people fly their drones from Xiamen to Jinmen, because too many Chinese citizen want to mess with Taiwan's government. I'm just saying, you know how near it is . Do you know how many drones china produced? When the day comes, it will be raining fire.
China knows better than DW.
China is living rent free in DW's head 247. Even though Germany recognizes Taiwan is part of China
This video convince me why Europeans decline so fast. Even their experts size up important events wrongly, e.g., Ukraine war and now this Taiwan civil war with China.
In any civil war, nobody in the world cares.
Comparing chinese military with Russia and American military that they would perform the same way is not the right way. It's really unpredictable. China showed what they can do in war in Tibet and in North Korea. When soviets were struggling, china turned the direction of the war even tho they didn't have advanced weapon at that time.
China has the ability today to carpet bomb Taiwan for weeks if not month. Every building in the island. Like israel did to Gaza. Everyone knows it.
I love how copium works, disaster lol. Disaster was Carthage or Constantinople or Berlin 1945. Iran is not a disaster for the US, maybe for Iran but not really.
Taiwan belongs to China or belonged if you want ，so the situation is totally different.
Has the Constitution of the Republic of China been abolished or amended?
Except Iran is a different country with different cultures thousands of miles away from US. Taiwan? Is a part of China
As always, DW pretends to know better than China about what China shall do.
Why DW get stomach pain about Taiwan and never about the Genocider and occupier the israel ?
so its mean pre. xi will be killed in very first day of war,. just like what happen to iran ayatolla