Exit Polls Project Far-Right AfD Victory in Eastern German State Election

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Exit polls in regional elections in eastern Germany indicate significant gains for the Alternative for Germany (AfD), positioning the party for a historic victory in the state of Thuringia and a close contest in Saxony. The results mark the first time a far-right party is projected to win a state parliamentary election in Germany since the Second World War. Despite the AfD’s strong performance, mainstream political parties have reaffirmed their refusal to form a governing coalition with them, creating a complex path toward forming viable state governments.

  • Exit polls project the Alternative for Germany (AfD) to win the state election in Thuringia with over 30 percent of the vote.
  • In neighboring Saxony, the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) holds a narrow lead over the AfD.
  • Mainstream political parties maintain a policy of refusing to enter into any governing coalition with the AfD.
  • The three parties comprising the federal governing coalition—the Social Democrats, Greens, and Free Democrats—recorded low levels of support.
  • The newly formed populist party Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) achieved double-digit support in both states, making it a critical player in future coalition negotiations.

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